IRANIAN WAR GAMES
Queen Gertrude, responding to the banal insincerity and over-acting of a character in Shakespeare’s play Hamlet, famously says: “The lady doth protest too much, methinks”. Shakespeare’s famous quote came to mind when Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani took to the international airwaves this week to scold the Americans over their withdrawal from the nuclear deal. Rouhani warned the remaining signatories to the deal, the UK, France, Germany, China and Russia, that Iran will resume enriching uranium in 60 days unless they take action to protect it from US sanctions, a virtually impossible request.
Rouhani’s protests reveal two interesting things. Firstly, that US sanctions are biting hard and threaten to topple the theocratic regime. Despite the Iranian President’s previous assurance that his country was “immunized against US sanctions”, the plummeting economy and the collapse of the Rial, the Iranian currency, combined with the nationwide protests by striking workers that have continued for the past 16 months, are a clear sign of a failed government that is now desperately searching for help. Secondly, the threat to resume enriching uranium exposes the truth behind Iran’s nuclear programme and shows clearly that it was never designed for peaceful purposes, but was always aimed at the production of nuclear weapons. The Trump administration’s immediate response was to send a US aircraft carrier and a bomber task force to the Middle East in what US National Security Adviser John Bolton described as “a clear and unmistakable message” to Iran.
The theocratic regime has long maintained that its nuclear programme was benign, legal and authorized by its membership as a non-nuclear weapon state in the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), which guarantees its members the right "to develop nuclear energy for peaceful purposes.” However, in 2003, the National Council for Resistance in Iran (NCRI), the main democratic opposition to the regime, revealed concrete intelligence that proved Iran was enriching uranium to a level compatible with the construction of nuclear weapons. It was also developing advanced missile delivery systems that could be used for this purpose. The revelation sent shockwaves around the world.
In a bid to secure his foreign policy presidential legacy, Barack Obama pushed through the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), or the Iran nuclear deal, which was signed by the US, UK, France, Germany, China and Russia in Vienna on July 14, 2015. It was widely promoted by the US and EU officials as a foreign policy breakthrough. In fact, the deal was a flagrant act of appeasement, lifting sanctions and releasing over $150 billion in frozen assets. Ludicrously, Obama even agreed to a demand that military sites inside Iran would be exempted from routine inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), despite intelligence that indicated much of the nuclear weapons and missile program was being developed in these top-secret military sites. The JCPOA provided a windfall for the theocratic dictatorship whose biggest export is terror, enabling it to arm its foreign allies and proxies such as Bashar al-Assad in Syria, the Houthi rebels in Yemen, the brutal Shi’ia militias in Iraq and the terrorist Hezbollah in Lebanon.
Donald Trump decried the nuclear deal with Iran as “the worst deal ever” during his presidential campaign and vowed the US would withdraw from it. As president he fulfilled that election pledge, restored tough sanctions and last month even listed the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) as a foreign terrorist organization. The IRGC, which is the equivalent of the regime’s Gestapo, controls almost 90% of the Iranian economy, so its blacklisting by the Americans makes it virtually impossible for Western businesses to trade with Iran.
But President Rouhani’s protests also lay bare the lies and duplicity of a regime that pleads for economic help while its embassies in Europe are used as bomb factories and cells for plotting assassinations and terror attacks on European soil. The arrest of Iranian agents in Europe who were planning assassinations and terror attacks on members of the Iranian opposition, are evidence of this regime’s malign intentions. The diplomat, Assadollah Assadeh, was a leading Ministry of Intelligence and Security (MOIS ) agent, posing as a member of the diplomatic staff in the Iranian Embassy in Vienna. He allegedly handed over a bomb to three other Iranian agents with instructions that they should attack the NCRI rally taking place in Paris in June 2018, attended by over a hundred thousand men, women and children. A similar bomb plot in Albania was thwarted by the police and led to the expulsion of the Iranian Ambassador and his First Secretary from the Iranian Embassy in Tirana.
A regime that sends its diplomatic staff to kill and maim innocent civilians in Europe has removed itself from the norms of civilized behaviour. Rouhani’s protests should be treated with the scorn that they deserve. The UK, France and Germany should follow America’s example, withdraw from the nuclear deal and impose tough sanctions on this rotten dictatorship, hastening its impending demise.